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49 Cards in this Set

  • Front
  • Back
begins with "cases" and
looks for prior exposure among cases and among controls.
case-control study
measure: OR
case-control study.
measure?
OR.
begins with "cases" and
looks for prior exposure among cases and among controls.
cohort study, begins with?
the exposure.
given the exposure.

exp(+)-------> how many cases?
exp(-)--------> how many cases?

measure: Relative risk
cohort study, measure?
RR.

Risk of the exposed/risk of the unexposed.
twin concordance study - measures what?
heritability
postmarketing surveillance?
phase IV
large nr. of patients, randomly assigned to the new drug or placebo.
Phase III.
Compares the new tx to the current standard of care.
Compares the new tx to the current standard of care. Also called: "the definitive test"
Phase III.
large nr. of patients, randomly assigned to the new drug or placebo.
assesses efficacy, optimal dosing, adverse effects; which phase study?
Phase II.
assesses safety, toxicity, pharmacokinetics. which phase study?
Phase I.
healthy volunteers.
SNOUT?
sensitivity rules out.
If negative, it is a true negative.
(if %100 sensitivity)

sensitivity is used for screening in diseases with low prevalence
SPIN?
Specificity rules in.
If positive, it is a true positive.
(if %100 specificity)

so, specificity is used as a confirmatory test after a positive test result
given a negative test result, probability of being true negative is:
NPV
given a positive test result, probability of being true positive is:
PPV
used for screening in diseases with low prevalence
sensitivity

sensitivity=detection of the disease
used as a confirmatory test after a positive test result
specificity
1-false negative rate
sensitivity
1-false positive rate
specificity
prevalence equals incidence for ... diseases
acute
(e.g. common cold)
for incidence calculation, shall we include current patients?
No.
prevalence = incidence x duration
true?
True.
prevalence = incidence x duration
Pr. of getting the disease in the exposed / Pr. of getting the disease in the unexposed
RR
(measure of Cohort studies)
odds of having the disease in the exposed / odds of having the disease in the unexposed
OR
(measure of case-control studies)
one is proportion (probability), one is odds. OR and RR.
OR: odds (case-control)
RR: probability (cohort)
if we do not make "dividing", instead if we calculate the difference between the risk of the exp. and unexp. - ANSWER TO: "how many more cases in one group?"
Attributable risk
(risk of the exposed - risk of the unexposed)
the reduction of risk associated with a tx compared to a placebo
absolute risk reduction
1/absolute risk reduction

(absolute risk reduction: the reduction of risk associated with a tx compared to a placebo)
NNT
NNT?
1/absolute risk reduction

(absolute risk reduction: the reduction of risk associated with a tx compared to a placebo)
the consistency and reproducability of a test
reliability=precision

also, the absence of random variation in a test.
so, random error > reduces precision.
trueness of measurements
accuracy=validity

systematic error - reduces accuracy (validity) in a test.
random error reduces . . . . . . . in a test
precision
(reliability)
systematic error reduces . . . . . . . in a test
accuracy
(validity)

accuracy (validity) = how often the test is right overall

accuracy= (TP+TN) / TP+TN+FP+FN
accuracy (validity) = how often the test is right overall
true?
true.
accuracy= (TP+TN) / TP+TN+FP+FN
subjects are not representative. which bias?
sampling bias
each subject has its own control (in time). which study?
cross-over study

each subject receive intervention, but at different times.
randomization limits mainly this bias:
(also known as non-respondent bias)
selection bias

also known as non-respondent bias.
bias in loss to follow ups.
non-random assignment. which bias?
selection bias

also known as non-respondent bias.
bias in loss to follow ups.
mean + 1 SD ve mean - 1 SD aralığı (bell curve) % kaç?
%68
mean + 2 SD ve mean - 2 SD aralığı (bell curve) % kaç?
%95
mistakenly reject the null.
type I (alpha) error.
Pr. (making a type I error) is p.

convicting an innocent man.

you sAw.

p<0.05 dediydin ya, işte bu olasılık gerçekleşmiş!
stating that there is not a difference when one exists.
type II error.
Pr.(making a type II error) = Beta.

you were Blind.

Power = 1 - beta
Pr. of making a type I (alpha) error is . . . . .
p

(generally 1/20 is accepted)
1 - beta is

Pr.(making a type II error) = Beta.
Power.
Pr. of rejecting the null, when it is in fact false.

Sample size increases power.
There is power in numbers.
how about statistical power in meta-analyses?
high.
but it is prone to selection bias (study selection)
nr. of persons "exposed to risk" during a time period
denominator of "incidence"
total population "at risk" at a given point or period
denominator of "prevalence"
what happens to incidence and prevalence if; new effective tx is initiated?
Incidence: NO CHANGE
Prev: DECREASES

(Remember the incidence-prevalence pot)
what happens to incidence and prevalence if; new effective vaccine gains widespread use?
Incidence: DECREASES
Prev: DECREASES

(Remember the incidence-prevalence pot)
what happens to incidence and prevalence if; long-term survival rates for the disease increases?
Incidence: NO CHANGE
Prevalence: INCREASES

(Remember the incidence-prevalence pot)