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48 Cards in this Set

  • Front
  • Back

Case

Object described by a set of data

Label

Special variable to distinguish from other cases

Variable

Characteristic of a case

Distribution

Describes how the values of a variable may vary from case to case

Pareto Graph

Bar chart with frequency of variable arranged with longest bars on the left and shortest on the right


The curve is smoothed and represents the cumulative percentage as we move from left to right

Histogram

Looks a lot like a bar graph but shows the distribution of counts with in the range of a variable

Stem Plot

Quick way to produce the information of a histogram, back of the enevelope

Time Plot

Line graph that measures a single variable against time. Time is always up on the horizontal axis.

Five Number Summary

Minimum Q1 M Q2 Maximum

Boxplot

Graph of the five number summary


Central box spans quartiles


Line in box marks median


Whiskers mark max and min or some other cases some boundary.

IQR =

Q3 - Q1


Interquartile Range

S =

Standard deviation

68 95 99.7 rule

In a normal distribution, at one standard distribution away from the mean 68% of the observation are contained, at two 95% at 3 99.7%

Z =

(X - μ) / σ

Z-score

How many standard deviations the original observation falls away from the mean

R =

Back (Definition)

Sxy =

Covariance is the measure of the direction of the relationship between two variables. A positive covariance means both variables tend to be high or low at the same time. A negative covariance means that when one variable is high the other tends to be low.

Least squares regression line

Line that makes the sum of the squares of the vertical distance of the data points from the line as small as possible

R squared =

Back (Definition)

Explanatory Variable

Manipulate to get a response


X

Responsive Variable

What changes as a result of the explanatory variable


Y

X bar

The mean of x

Y bar

The mean of y

Y hat

The predicted value of y given x

Residual =

Y - y hat


The residual J’s difference between the observed variable and value predicted

Back (Definition)

Regression Line

Straight line that describes how y (responsive variable) changes as x (explanatory variable) changes

Lurking Variable

A variable that is not among the explanatory or response variables in a study, may influence the interpretation of relationships among those variables.

Treatments

Conditional studied in an experiment- what we change

Experimental Unit

Cases that are assigned to a treatment in an experiment. Subjects when it’s humans

9 Threats to Internal Validity

Omitted Variables, Trends in outcomes, misspecified variance, mismeasurement, political economy, simulaneity, selection, attrition, omitted interactions

Omitted Variables

Variables that skew our results that we did not measure

Stratification/Blocking

Moving experimental units into blocks that should be representative and effective

Permutation vs combination

Permutation-Meaningful order of variables


President, Vice president, assistant


Combination- order does matter


Member of the board

Union U

A U B


A or B or both can occur

Intersection

Intersection where A and B are existing simultaneously

Compliment

A^C or A’

Disjoint

O with a cross through it


Completely unrelated

Kolmogorov’s Probability Axioms

1. The probability of everything adds up to 1 or 100%


2. Probability of an event is a non negative number


3. If number are disjoint and there is no probability mass in the area between them then they are fine

Internal Validity- Trends in outcomes

Existing trends that explain the difference in the dependent variable

Internal validity- misspecified variance

The groups, treatment vs control, have their own differences which effect the results

Internal Validity: Mismeasurements

Changes in definitions or survey methods

Internal validity: political economy

Government expects results due to past or expected future outcomes

Internal validity: simultaneity

Two variables are changed simultaneously but not a direct result of each other such as the interest rates of 5 year and 10 year bonds

Intersection

Intersection where A and B are existing simultaneously

Compliment

A^C or A’

Internal validity: Omitted interactions

Trends and interactions of variables ommitted from the model. Think of a < shaped graph, we would model it as -.

3 Threats to external validity

Does not generalize to selection, setting, or time period